The Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate unchanged Wednesday and Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the increasingly uncertain outlook for the U.S. economy and inflation in the wake of the Iran war, suggesting the Fed could stand pat for an extended period. Fed policymakers maintained their forecast for an additional rate cut this year, but in a news conference, Powell suggested that the central bank remains concerned about inflation that was still stubbornly elevated even before the conflict’s impact on gas prices.
U.S. stocks slumped after a report said inflation was primed to worsen even before the war with Iran sent oil prices spiking. That and comments from the head of the Federal Reserve pushed Wall Street on Wednesday to see less chance of getting the lower interest rates that it loves. The S&P 500 fell 1.4% for its first loss this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.6%, and the Nasdaq composite slid 1.5%. Treasury yields climbed in the bond market, which hurts prices for all kinds of investments. Gold fell back below $5,000 per ounce.
A drop in oil prices helped send the U.S. stock market to its best day since the war in Iran began. The S&P 500 climbed 1% Monday for its biggest gain in five weeks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.8%, and the Nasdaq composite jumped 1.2%. The price for a barrel of benchmark U.S. crude fell toward $93 after topping $102 in the morning. The fall in oil prices not only helped boost stocks of companies with big fuel bills but also helped Treasury yields ease in the bond market. The S&P 500 pulled back to just 4% below its record.
About 3,800 workers for the world’s largest meatpacking company began striking Monday. If they don’t get a new contract soon, already costly beef could become even more expensive for U.S. consumers. The walkout at the Swift Beef Co. plant in Greeley, Colorado, comes after the union said 99% of the workers voted to authorize the strike, seeking higher wages and better health care. Swift Beef owner JBS USA says it complies with labor and employment laws and any employee who doesn’t strike will have work and be paid. Union officials say the company's offer of 2% wage hikes is less than inflation. The company says its offer is fair.
Wall Street’s losses deepened as the ongoing fallout from the war in Iran keeps pushing oil prices higher, ratcheting up inflationary pressure on the global economy. After briefly easing early Friday, crude oil prices rose again, bringing the benchmark oil price back above $100 a barrel. The S&P 500 fell 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.3% and the Nasdaq composite dropped 0.9%. A measure of inflation closely monitored by the Federal Reserve moved higher in January, even before the war with Iran sent energy prices higher.
An inflation gauge closely monitored by the Federal Reserve moved higher in January in the latest sign that prices were persistently elevated even before the Iran war caused spikes in oil and gas costs. Prices rose 2.8% in January compared with a year earlier, the Commerce Department said Friday. And excluding the volatile food and energy categories — which the Fed pays closer attention to — core prices rose 3.1%, up from 3% in the prior month and the highest in nearly two years.
Worries about the war with Iran sent oil prices back to $100 per barrel and stocks sinking worldwide. The S&P 500 fell 1.5% Thursday and returned to big swings following a couple days of relative calm. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.6%, and the Nasdaq composite sank 1.8%. The center of action was again the oil market, where the price of a barrel of Brent crude got as high as $101.59. Treasury yields climbed in the bond market on worries about higher inflation and fewer cuts to interest rates by the Federal Reserve.
The U.S. stock market remained calm, even as the price of oil got back to rising. The S&P 500 edged down 0.1% Wednesday for a second day of modest moves following what had been a wild stretch caused by the war with Iran. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.6%, and the Nasdaq composite rose 0.1%. Oracle limited Wall Street’s losses after jumping following a strong profit report. Oil prices climbed even though the International Energy Agency said its members will release a record amount of crude from stockpiles set aside for emergencies. Treasury yields rose in the bond market.
Inflation stayed stubbornly elevated last month as gas prices rose in a snapshot of what consumer prices looked like before the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran sent energy costs soaring. Wednesday’s data has been overtaken by the conflict that began when the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran on Feb. 28, which has caused wild gyrations in oil prices as shipping lanes through the Persian Gulf have suffered a rare shutdown. Gas prices have already jumped and are expected to push inflation much higher when inflation data for this month is released in early April.
Oil surges to its highest price since 2023, and stocks drop after a weak update on the US job market
Oil shot to its highest price since 2023 after surging again because of the Iran war, and a weak update on the U.S. job market knocked stocks lower to cap Wall Street’s worst week since October. The S&P 500 dropped 1.3% Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged as many as 945 points before finishing with a loss of roughly 450, and the Nasdaq composite sank 1.6%. The combination of a weak economy and high inflation is a worst-case scenario for investors because the Federal Reserve has no good tool to fix both problems at the same time.